Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.844501 2.104607 2.390194 2.727339 3.114891 3.546930 4.065772
2025-09-21 1.467519 1.807518 2.211667 2.728735 3.374549 4.156949 5.180389
2025-09-28 1.168390 1.533307 1.996705 2.630969 3.480723 4.585744 6.141291
2025-10-05 1.033374 1.433691 1.972468 2.755342 3.871875 5.419049 7.746442
2025-10-12 0.933310 1.359987 1.964543 2.891019 4.288419 6.338743 9.614209
2025-10-19 0.834071 1.269310 1.914777 2.952043 4.597036 7.138238 11.425400
2025-10-26 0.751281 1.189050 1.865643 3.000927 4.885844 7.938733 13.355116
2025-11-02 0.656605 1.076096 1.748750 2.921929 4.951724 8.382677 14.754384
2025-11-09 0.565047 0.955539 1.602797 2.771859 4.871620 8.561606 15.707023
2025-11-16 0.509842 0.888570 1.536698 2.747589 5.002849 9.119068 17.422612
2025-11-23 0.458019 0.820855 1.460457 2.693637 5.069601 9.562826 18.982681
2025-11-30 0.439178 0.809611 1.482480 2.821952 5.493400 10.732106 22.157608
2025-12-07 0.411559 0.780043 1.469442 2.885896 5.809322 11.752956 25.238177
2025-12-14 0.377414 0.734116 1.420184 2.872267 5.967505 12.478916 27.816625
2025-12-21 0.336610 0.670464 1.329065 2.761575 5.907276 12.736981 29.394037
2025-12-28 0.324713 0.663452 1.350147 2.888378 6.376683 14.214009 34.066925
2026-01-04 0.314745 0.659162 1.376086 3.028739 6.896202 15.881896 39.508680
2026-01-11 0.298599 0.639853 1.367888 3.091648 7.245888 17.206598 44.333476
2026-01-18 0.282866 0.619613 1.355218 3.142346 7.573365 18.526656 49.392986
2026-01-25 0.258561 0.577602 1.289409 3.059114 7.560342 18.997112 52.236477
2026-02-01 0.231577 0.526624 1.197662 2.901478 7.337284 18.894865 53.451375
2026-02-08 0.216014 0.500575 1.161059 2.875933 7.452548 19.701030 57.450694
2026-02-15 0.199921 0.471609 1.114463 2.819287 7.477553 20.267215 60.844188